Excess Deaths in April and May 2020 by Local Authority in England

Benjamin Barr and Alexandros Alexiou

May 14, 2020
Updated June 18, 2020

We carried out a preliminary analysis of the latest data on the total number of deaths occurred in April and May 2020 by lower tier Local Authority in England. The map below shows the estimated excess deaths occurred from all cases per 100,000. The projected figures for 2020 were estimated based on the available monthly deaths in April and May since 2010, assuming that in the absence of COVID-19 the number of deaths in each local authority would have followed a linear trend.

Projected deaths for those two months were then compared to actual data for 2020, as provided by the Office for National Statistics, for every Local Authority. Note that the figures provide information on all excess deaths from all causes per 100,000 people.

Clicking on an area will provide further information on the number of deaths recorded broken down by month, including a graph showing the trends in mortality rates, and the projected value in 2020 assuming no COVID-19 crisis.

The analysis does not includes the Isles of Scilly for which data is not available. In addition, May data for the local authorities of Aylesbury Vale, Chiltern, South Bucks and Wycombe is also not available, and for these areas the map displays data for April 2020 only. Note that the provisional data for 2020 are weekly-based and as such they are close approximations of monthly data.

A full-screen version of the map can be found here. You can also download the shapefile or just the underlying data here (click the download option at the bottom of the page to select data format).

Data Sources:

  1. ONS, Deaths registered monthly in England and Wales
  2. ONS, Deaths registered weekly in England and Wales